The Holodomor
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Stalin and Holodomor
(Ukrainian: Голодомор; translation: death by starvation) refers
to the famine of 1932-1933 in the Ukrainian SSR during which
millions of people were starved to death due to Soviet policies.
There were no natural causes for starvation and in fact, Ukraine
- unlike other Soviet Republics - enjoyed a bumper wheat crop in
1932. The Holodomor is considered one of the greatest calamities
to affect the Ukrainian nation in modern history. Millions of
inhabitants of Ukraine died of starvation in an unprecedented
peacetime catastrophe. Estimates on the total number of
casualties within Soviet Ukraine range mostly from 2.6 million
to 10 million.
The root cause of the Holodomor is a subject of scholarly
debate. Some scholars have argued that the Soviet policies that
caused the famine may have been designed as an attack on the
rise of Ukrainian nationalism, and therefore fall under the
legal definition of genocide. Therefore the Holodomor is also
known as the "terror-famine in Ukraine" and "famine-genocide in
Ukraine". Others, however, conclude that the Holodomor was a
consequence of the economic problems associated with radical
economic changes implemented during the period of Soviet
industrialization.
As of March 2008, Ukraine and nineteen other governments have
recognized the actions of the Soviet government as an act of
genocide. The joint statement at the United Nations in 2003 has
defined the famine as the result of cruel actions and policies
of the totalitarian regime that caused the deaths of millions of
Ukrainians, Russians, Kazakhs and other nationalities in the
USSR . On 23 October 2008 the European Parliament adopted a
resolution that recognized the Holodomor as a crime against
humanity.

1. Etymology
The term first appeared in print on July 18, 1988 in an
article by Ukrainian writer Oleksiy Musiyenko . The origins of
the word Holodomor come from the Ukrainian words holod,
‘hunger’, and mor, ‘plague’, possibly from the expression
moryty holodom, ‘to inflict death by hunger’. The Ukrainian verb
"moryty" (морити) means "to poison somebody, drive to exhaustion
or to torment somebody". The perfect form of the verb "moryty"
is "zamoryty" — "kill or drive to death by hunger, exhausting
work". The neologism “Holodomor” is given in the modern,
two-volume dictionary of the Ukrainian language as "artificial
hunger, organised in vast scale by the criminal regime against
the country's population." Sometimes the expression is
translated into English as "murder by hunger or starvation."

2. Scope and duration
The famine affected the Ukrainian SSR as well as the
Moldavian ASSR (a part of the Ukrainian S.S.R. at the time)
between 1932 and 1933. However, not every part suffered from the
Holodomor for the whole period; the greatest number of victims
was recorded in the spring of 1933.
The first reports of mass malnutrition and deaths from
starvation emerged from 2 urban area of Uman - by the time
Vinnytsya and Kiev oblasts dated by beginning of January 1933.
By mid-January 1933 there were reports about mass “difficulties”
with food in urban areas that had been undersupplied through the
rationing system and deaths from starvation among people who
were withdrawn from rationing supply according to Central
Committee of the Communist Party of Ukraine Decree December
1932. By the beginning of February 1933, according to received
reports from local authorities and Ukrainian GPU, the most
affected area was listed as Dnipropetrovsk Oblast which also
suffered from epidemics of typhus and malaria. Odessa and Kiev
oblasts were second and third respectively. By mid-March, most
reports originated from Kiev Oblast.
By mid-April 1933, the Kharkiv Oblast reached the top of the
most affected list, while Kiev, Dnipropetrovsk, Odessa,
Vinnytsya, Donetsk oblasts and Moldavian SSR followed it. Last
reports about mass deaths from starvation dated mid-May through
the beginning of June 1933 originated from raions in Kiev and
Kharkiv oblasts. The “less affected” list noted the Chernihiv
Oblast and northern parts of Kiev and Vinnytsya oblasts.
According to the Central Committee of the CP(b) of Ukraine
Decree as of February 8 1933, no hunger cases should have
remained untreated, and all local authorities were directly
obliged to submit reports about numbers suffering from hunger,
the reasons for hunger, number of deaths from hunger, food aid
provided from local sources and centrally provided food aid
required. Parallel reporting and food assistance were managed by
the GPU of the Ukrainian SSR. Many regional reports and most of
the central summary reports are available from present-day
central and regional Ukrainian archives. There is documentary
evidence of widespread cannibalism during the Holodomor. The
Soviet regime of the time even printed posters declaring: "To
eat your own children is a barbarian act."

3. Causes
The reasons for the famine are a subject of scholarly
and political debate. Some scholars view the famine as a
consequence of the economic problems associated with radical
economic changes implemented during the period of Soviet
industrialization. However it has been suggested by other
historians that the famine was an attack on Ukrainian
nationalism engineered by Soviet leadership of the time and thus
may fall under the legal definition of genocide.

4. Death toll
By the end of 1933, millions of people had starved to death
or had otherwise died unnaturally in Ukraine, as well as in
other Soviet republics. The total estimate of the famine victims
Soviet-wide is given as 6-7 million or 6-8 million. The Soviet
Union long denied that the famine had ever taken place, and the
NKVD (and later KGB) archives on the Holodomor period opened
very slowly. The exact number of the victims remains unknown and
is probably impossible to estimate even within a margin of error
of a hundred thousand. Numbers as high as seven to ten million
are sometimes given in the media and a number as high as ten or
even twenty million is sometimes cited in political speeches.
One reason for estimate variance is that some assess the
number of people who died within the 1933 borders of Ukraine;
while others are based on deaths within current borders of
Ukraine. Other estimates are based on deaths of Ukrainians in
the Soviet Union. Some estimates use a very simple methodology
based percentage of deaths that was reported in one area and
applying the percentage to the entire country. Others use more
sophisticated techniques that involves analyzing the demographic
statistics based on various archival data. Some question the
accuracy of Soviet censuses since they may have been doctored to
support Soviet propaganda. Other estimates come from recorded
discussion between world leaders like Churchill and Stalin. For
example the estimate of ten million deaths, which is attributed
to Soviet official sources, could be based on a
misinterpretation[citation needed] of the memoirs of Winston
Churchill who gave an account of his conversation with Stalin
that took place on August 16, 1942. In that conversation, Stalin
gave Churchill his estimates of the number of "kulaks" who were
repressed for resisting collectivization as 10 million, in all
of the Soviet Union, rather than only in Ukraine. When using
this number, Stalin implied that it included not only those who
lost their lives, but also forcibly deported.

A number of difficulties exist when attempting to estimate
casualty rates. Some estimates include the death toll from
political repression including those who died in the Gulag,
while others refer only to those who starved to death. In
addition, many of the estimates are based on different time
periods. Thus, a definitive number of deaths continues to be a
source of great debate.
The results based on scientific methods obtained prior to the
opening of former Soviet archives also varied widely but the
range was narrower: for example, 2.5 million (Volodymyr
Kubiyovych), 4.8 million (Vasyl Hryshko) and 5 million (Robert
Conquest).
One modern calculation that uses demographic data including
that available from recently opened Soviet archives narrows the
losses to about 3.2 million or, allowing for the lack of precise
data, 3 million to 3.5 million.
The Soviet archives show that excess deaths in Ukraine in
1932-1933 numbered 1.54 million. In 1932-1933, there were a
combined 1.2 million cases of typhus and 500,000 cases of
typhoid fever. All major types of disease, apart from cancer,
tend to increase during famine as a result of undernourishment
lowering resistance and generating unsanitary conditions; thus
these deaths resulted primarily from lowered resistance rather
than starvation per se. In the years 1932-34, the largest rate
of increase was recorded for typhus, which is spread by lice. In
conditions of harvest failure and increased poverty, the number
of lice is likely to increase, and the herding of refugees at
railway stations, on trains and elsewhere facilitates their
spread. In 1933, the number of recorded cases was twenty times
the 1929 level. The number of cases per head of population
recorded in Ukraine in 1933 was already considerably higher than
in the USSR as a whole. But by June 1933, incidence in Ukraine
had increased to nearly ten times the January level and was
higher than in the rest of the USSR taken as a whole.
However, the number of the recorded excess deaths extracted
from the birth/death statistics from the Soviet archives is
self-contradictory and cannot be fully relied upon because the
data fails to add up to the differences between the results of
the 1927 Census and the 1937 Census.
Stanislav Kulchytsky summarized the natural population
change. The declassified Soviet statistics show a decrease of
538,000 people in the population of Soviet Ukraine between 1926
census (28,925,976) and 1937 census (28,388,000).

According to the correction for officially non-accounted
child mortality in 1933 by 150,000 calculated by Sergei
Maksudov, the number of births for 1933 should be increased from
471,000 to 621,000. Assuming the natural mortality rates in 1933
to be equal to the average annual mortality rate in 1927-1930
(524,000 per year) a natural population growth for 1933 would
have been 97,000, which is five times less than this number in
the past years (1927-1930). From the corrected birth rate and
the estimated natural death rate for 1933 as well as from the
official data for other years the natural population growth from
1927 to 1936 gives 4.043 million while the census data showed a
decrease of 538,000. The sum of the two numbers gives an
estimated total demographic loss of 4.581 million people. A
major hurdle in estimating the human losses due to famine is the
need to take into account the numbers involved in migration
(including forced resettlement). According to the Soviet
statistics, the migration balance for the population in Ukraine
for 1927 - 1936 period was a loss of 1.343 million people. Even
at the time when the data was taken, the Soviet statistical
institutions acknowledged that its precision was worse than the
data for the natural population change. Still, with the
correction for this number, the total number of death in Ukraine
due to unnatural causes for the given ten years was 3.238
million, and taking into account the lack of precision,
especially of the migration estimate, the human toll is
estimated between 3 million and 3.5 million.
Declassified Soviet
statistics
Year
|
Births
|
Deaths
|
Natural change
|
1927
|
1184
|
523
|
661
|
1928
|
1139
|
496
|
643
|
1929
|
1081
|
539
|
542
|
1930
|
1023
|
536
|
487
|
1931
|
975
|
515
|
460
|
1932
|
782
|
668
|
114
|
1933
|
471
|
1850
|
-1379
|
1934
|
571
|
483
|
88
|
1935
|
759
|
342
|
417
|
1936
|
895
|
361
|
534
|
|
|
In addition to the direct losses from unnatural deaths, the
indirect losses due to the decrease of the birth rate should be
taken into account in consideration in estimating of the
demographic consequences of the Famine for Ukraine. For
instance, the natural population growth in 1927 was 662,000,
while in 1933 it was 97,000, [this does not fit with the table,
it had to be a decline of 1.379 thousand, i.e., approx. 1.4
million] in 1934 it was 88,000. The combination of direct and
indirect losses from Holodomor gives 4.469 million, of which
3.238 million (or more realistically 3 to 3.5 million) is the
number of the direct deaths according to this estimate.

A 2002 study by Vallin et al utilizing some similar primary
sources to Kulchytsky, and performing an analysis with more
sophisticated demographic tools with forward projection of
expected growth from the 1926 census and backward projection
from the 1939 census estimate the amount of direct deaths for
1933 as 2.582 million. This number of deaths does not reflect
the total demographic loss for Ukraine from these events as the
fall of the birth rate during crisis and the out-migration
contribute to the latter as well. The total population shortfall
from the expected value between 1926 and 1939 estimated by
Vallin amounted to 4.566 million. Of this number, 1.057 million
is attributed to birth deficit, 930,000 to forced out-migration,
and 2.582 million to excess mortality and voluntary
out-migration. With the latter assumed to be negligible this
estimate gives the number of deaths as the result of the 1933
famine about 2.2 million. According to this study the life
expectancy for those born in 1933 sharply fell to 10.8 years for
females and to 7.3 years for males and remained abnormally low
for 1934 but, as commonly expected for the post-crisis peaked in
1935-36.
According to estimates about 81.3% of the famine victims in
Ukrainian SRR were ethnic Ukrainians, 4.5% Russians, 1.4% Jews
and 1.1% were Poles. Many Belarusians, Hungarians, Volga Germans
and other nationalities became victims as well. The Ukrainian
rural population was the hardest hit by the Holodomor. Since the
peasantry constituted a demographic backbone of the Ukrainian
nation, ] the tragedy deeply affected the Ukrainians for many
years.
According to the Encyclopedia Britannica, the overall number
of Ukrainians who died from 1932-1933 famine is estimated as
about four to five million out of six to eight million people
who died in the Soviet Union as a whole.

5. Was the Holodomor a genocide?
Robert Conquest claimed that the famine of 1932-33 was a
deliberate act of mass murder, if not genocide committed as part
of Joseph Stalin's collectivization program in the Soviet Union.
In 2006, the Security Service of Ukraine declassified more than
5 thousand pages of Holodomor archives. [47] These documents
suggest that the Soviet regime singled out Ukraine by not giving
it the same humanitarian aid given to regions outside it. [48]
Some scholars say that Conquest's book on the famine is replete
with errors and inconsistencies and that it deserves to be
considered an example of Cold War lack of objectivity. [49]
R.W. Davies and Stephen G. Wheatcroft have interacted with
Conquest and note that he no longer considers the famine
"deliberate". [50] Conquest—and, by extension, Davies and
Wheatcroft—believe that, had industrialization been abandoned,
the famine would have been "prevented" (Conquest), or at least
significantly alleviated.
...we regard the policy of rapid industrialization as an
underlying cause of the agricultural troubles of the early
1930s, and we do not believe that the Chinese or NEP versions of
industrialization were viable in Soviet national and
international circumstances.
They see the leadership under Stalin as making significant
errors in planning for the industrialization of agriculture.
Davies and Wheatcroft also cite an unpublished letter by
Robert Conquest:
Our view of Stalin and the famine is close to that of
Robert Conquest, who would earlier have been considered the
champion of the argument that Stalin had intentionally caused
the famine and had acted in a genocidal manner. In 2003, Dr
Conquest wrote to us explaining that he does not hold the view
that "Stalin purposely incited the 1933 famine. No. What I argue
is that with resulting famine imminent, he could have prevented
it, but put ‘Soviet interest’ other than feeding the starving
first—thus consciously abetting it".

This retraction by Conquest is also noted by Kulchytsky.
Some historians maintain that the famine was an unintentional
consequence of collectivization, and that the associated
resistance to it by the Ukrainian peasantry exacerbated an
already-poor harvest. Some researchers state that while the
term Ukrainian Genocide is often used in application to the
event, technically, the use of the term "genocide" is
inapplicable.
The statistical distribution of famine's victims among the
ethnicities closely reflects the ethnic distribution of the
rural population of Ukraine Moldavian, Polish, German and
Bulgarian population that mostly resided in the rural
communities of Ukraine suffered in the same proportion as the
rural Ukrainian population. While ethnic Russians in Ukraine
lived mostly in urban areas and the cities were affected little
by the famine, the rural Russian population was affected the
same way as the rural population of any other ethnicity.
University of West Virginia professor Dr Mark Tauger claims
that any analysis that asserts that the harvests of 1931 and
1932 were not extraordinarily low and that the famine was a
political measure intentionally imposed through excessive
procurements is based on an insufficient source base and an
uncritical approach to the official sources.
Author James Mace was one of the first to claim that the
famine constituted genocide. But scholars believe that Mace's
work debased the field of Russian studies.
Professor Michael Ellman of the University of Amsterdam
concludes that, according to a relaxed definition of the term,
the famine of 1932-33 may constitute genocide. He bases this on
the actions (two of commission and one of omission: exporting
grain - 1.8 million tonnes - during the mass starvation,
preventing migration from famine afflicted areas and making no
effort to secure grain assistance from abroad) and the attitude
(that many of those starving to death were
"counterrevolutionaries," "idlers" or "thieves" who fully
deserved their fate) of the Stalinist regime in 1932-33. He
asks:
“Throughout his career as a Soviet leader, from Tsaritsyn
(1918) to the ‘Doctors' plot’ (1953), he used violence (arrests,
shootings, deportations) to achieve his political goals. Is it
really plausible to suppose that with these perceptions,
convictions, words, actions, plans, and record, Stalin would
have abstained from an efficient, cost-saving method (i.e.
starvation) of repressing ‘counterrevolutionaries’ (or
‘anti-Soviet elements’) and liquidating ‘idlers’?”

6. Denial of the Holodomor
Denial of the Holodomor is the assertion that the 1932-1933
Holodomor in Soviet Ukraine did not occur. This denial and
suppression was made in official Soviet propaganda and was
supported by some Western journalists and intellectuals.
Denial of the famine by Soviet authorities, including
President Mikhail Kalinin and Foreign Minister Maxim Litvinov,
was immediate and continued into the 1980s. The Soviet party
line was echoed at the time of the famine by some prominent
Western journalists, including Walter Duranty and Louis Fischer.
The denial of the famine was a highly successful and well
orchestrated disinformation campaign by the Soviet government.
Stalin "had achieved the impossible: he had silenced all the
talk of hunger... Millions were dying, but the nation hymned the
praises of collectivization", said historian and writer Edvard
Radzinsky. That was the first major instance of Soviet
authorities adopting Hitler's Big Lie propaganda technique to
sway world opinion, to be followed by similar campaigns over the
Moscow Trials and denial of the Gulag labor camp system,
according to Robert Conquest